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Writer's pictureThe Analyst

The Geopolitical Weapon

Trade Wars and Tariffs:


Cold Wars have occurred since the beginning of time; geopolitical tensions always exist and can have detrimental effects on citizens involved in the crossfire. These tensions can manifest themselves in trade wars, which happen all around us, from the Boston Tea Party to the recent one involving the two global superpowers, the US and China. They affect everyone and can cause prices of commodities such as imported groceries or smartphones to skyrocket. 

Trade wars, characterised by the imposition of tariffs and other trade barriers, play a central role in international economics, especially in our increasingly globalised and interconnected world. They influence the flow of goods, impact business decisions, and ultimately affect consumers worldwide, illustrating the far-reaching consequences of such economic strategies.

Before we analyse the impacts, it is important to consider the basic economic theory behind their implementation. First, there are a few key definitions: tariffs are taxes a country imposes on imported goods designed to protect domestic industries from foreign competition or harm a foreign power by making them less desirable. By making imported products more expensive, tariffs encourage consumers to buy locally produced goods, support domestic businesses, preserve jobs, and import foreign sales. Trade Wars are when countries retaliate against each other by imposing or escalating tariffs, leading to a cycle of economic conflict. One country’s tariffs provoke a response from another, often triggering a back-and-forth of restrictions on trade.

When analysing Trade Wars, it is important to consider their possible causes. One important and usual cause is the exploitation of economic imbalances. When one country imports more than it exports, it causes a trade deficit. These imbalances often trigger trade disputes, as countries with large deficits may feel unfairly disadvantaged. For example, the U.S.-China trade war stemmed partly from America’s reliance on its imports from China, leading to tariffs to reduce this gap. An example which occurred recently is seen in the electric cars market, where the US has placed significant tariffs on Chinese competition; this is also an example of protectionism. Protectionism is when tariffs are used to shield domestic industries from foreign competition, this mostly happens in key sectors like steel and agriculture. Finally, trade wars can be caused by Political Motivations. Nationalism, geopolitical rivalry, or a desire to project strength in international negotiations can prompt countries to impose tariffs. For instance, tariffs may pressure trading partners into favourable deals or assert dominance in a global power struggle. Today’s key and prevailing example is the relationship between the US and China.

Trade Wars affect everyone, from consumers to the Global trading arena. For example, tariffs can increase consumers’ prices while simultaneously disrupting global supply chains, increasing business costs and, in some cases, leading to inefficiencies in production and distribution. Trade Wars also have significant effects on Domestic economies, directly affecting employment and internal growth. Furthermore, tariffs often cause situations which can easily escalate. Countries often respond to tariffs with their own, leading to a cycle of retaliation that can escalate into a full-blown trade war, thereby worsening the consequences and having ripple effects impacting the globe.

The future of trade wars and tariffs is uncertain, yet increasing geopolitical tensions will not help prevent them. Some economists argue that we are in a period of deglobalisation, and this will result in more tariffs as countries return to focusing on internal production. However, some governing bodies, such as the World Trade Organization (WTO), use a diplomatic approach to prevent trade wars and tariffs. In order for these to be prevented, the entire globe would need to cooperate and communicate to ensure a stable and open trading system benefiting all those who participate.

Overall, trade wars and tariffs are significant when analysing international economics. Governments can use tariffs to protect domestic industries from foreign competition, while political motivations like geopolitical rivalries can escalate economic conflicts. The U.S.-China trade war is a prime example of how these measures can disrupt global markets, affecting businesses, consumers, and world markets. As their impact is felt everywhere, staying informed about trade policies, tariffs, and Trade Wars is important. When looking at the future, it is increasingly important to work towards responsible trade practices that foster global economic stability and growth.

By Annika Bjerregaard


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